Poll suggests Lib Dem defectors could lose seats at elections
- Credit: PA
YouGov's MRP modelling has suggested that politicians that defected to the Liberal Democrats could lose their seats in the general election.
The analysis highlighted four former Conservatives said to be trailing in their respective constituencies - Sarah Wollaston, who is 19 points behind in Totnes, Antoinette Sandbach who is trailing by 33 points in Eddisbury, Philip Lee who is down by 10 points in Wokingham and Sam Gyimah who is eight points behind in Kensington.
Three Labour defectors are also shown as struggling, according to the projection.
Chuka Umunna is said to be 13 points behind in Cities of London and Westminster, while Luciana Berger is 18 points down in Finchley and Golders Green, and Angela Smith is trailing by 33 points in Altrincham and Sale West.
Independent candidates, who left Labour or the Conservative Party earlier this year, also look set to lose their seats, YouGov's modelling suggests.
You may also want to watch:
Former Tory Anna Soubry, now the leader of The Independent Group for Change, is said to be trailing in third in Broxtowe, and her other two colleagues, ex-Labour MPs Mike Gapes and Chris Leslie, are also forecast to lose out.
Gavin Shuker, who left Labour and is now running as an independent candidate for Luton South, is also behind, according to the data.
- 1 Boris Johnson: Liar of the land
- 2 Why so many on the left think Jews don't count
- 3 Bookmakers rate chances of UK rejoining EU by 2026 at 5/1
- 4 Campaign urges Brits to declare themselves 'European' on 2021 census
- 5 The end of Britain is nigh: Here's how, when and why...
- 6 French diplomat brands Boris Johnson 'a liar' who will blame Brexit costs on Covid
- 7 David Lammy: Don't fall for the right's culture wars trap
- 8 What would Matt Hancock have to do for Labour to call for him to go?
- 9 World's largest daffodil farm forced to let flowers rot in fields due to Brexit staffing issues
- 10 The Finnish city aiming for carbon neutrality in just four years
Ex-Tory cabinet minister David Gauke, who is running as an independent, is projected to lose in South West Hertfordshire with the same fate forecast for fellow ex-Tory Dominic Grieve who is the independent candidate for Beaconsfield.
Former independent and Labour MP Frank Field, who is running as the Birkenhead Social Justice Party candidate in Birkenhead, is also forecast to lose after having held the seat for Labour since 1979, according to YouGov.
East Devon is projected to be the most likely constituency to elect an independent candidate with Claire Wright in second place just six points behind her Tory rival.
YouGov said its methods for the poll used aggregated data and projections which may not reflect specific localised factors in its analysis and sample sizes in individual seats were, on average, too small to be relied upon as constituency polls.
Become a Supporter
The New European is proud of its journalism and we hope you are proud of it too. We believe our voice is important - both in representing the pro-EU perspective and also to help rebalance the right wing extremes of much of the UK national press. If you value what we are doing, you can help us by making a contribution to the cost of our journalism.