Shock new polling reveals Boris Johnson would fall short of election majority
- Credit: Archant
A much-anticipated poll from YouGov, which most accurately predicted the outcome of the last general election, predicts Boris Johnson will fall short of a majority.
YouGov's multilevel regression and post-stratification poll is commonly known in the industry as 'MRP' and seeks to predict the outcome of Britain's general election on December 12.
The MRP polling attempts to provide a more accurate polling method by weighing up data from each constituency, voter demographic, past voting behaviour, and other profile variables from voters.
In 2017 the MRP polling predicted Theresa May would lose her majority at a tiem when every other poll predicted the Tories would secure a big win.
Now the polling has predicted that the Tories could fall short of a majority again, potentially paving the way for a Remain alliance to take power after election day.
You may also want to watch:
That is despite some polls giving Boris Johnson a double digit lead.
Earlier in the evening Dominic Cummings indicated he believed the polling could be "much tighter" than first thought when he published a blog warning Brexit supporters not to become complacent.
- 1 The true cost of Brexit is becoming clearer
- 2 Where the fires of Brexit still burn fiercest
- 3 Be careful what you wish for... voting reform could kill Labour
- 4 PMQs: Ian Blackford drops truth bomb over post-Brexit trade deal with Australia
- 5 MATT FREI: Brexit posed a question... and we haven't even begun to answer it
- 6 Why have Remainers gone so quiet?
- 7 Brexiteers propose return of imperial measurements in report on reducing 'red tape'
- 8 Boris Johnson's awkward moment with the Queen
- 9 How the Kominsky Method grapples with growing old
- 10 Amazon order shows how we're all paying the price for Brexit
Become a Supporter
The New European is proud of its journalism and we hope you are proud of it too. We believe our voice is important - both in representing the pro-EU perspective and also to help rebalance the right wing extremes of much of the UK national press. If you value what we are doing, you can help us by making a contribution to the cost of our journalism.