PM on the brink amid revolts and Brexit anger
PUBLISHED: 11:02 14 October 2018
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David Davis has urged Brexiteers in the cabinet to force Theresa May to dump her bid to strike a deal with the EU.
Her latest bid to solve the Irish border issue – keeping the United Kingdom in a customs union beyond the transitional period if no deal is done – has been met with incredulity by hardliners.
Former Brexit secretary Davis said the plan was “completely unacceptable” and urged cabinet ministers to “exert their collective authority”.
And it is believed that as many as 44 letters demanding a vote of no confidence in the prime minister have now been submitted to the Conservative 1922 Committee – just four short of the number required to trigger a ballot.
Meanwhile Democratic Unionist Party leader Arlene Foster is reported to have said that a no-deal Brexit was now the most likely outcome after talks with senior figures including Michel Barnier in Brussels.
Her party is opposed to any customs arrangement which would result in Northern Ireland being “annexed” or impose extra checks on goods travelling to or from Great Britain.
With continued speculation that Leave-supporting cabinet ministers could resign if May presses ahead with the plan, Davis said: “This is one of the most fundamental decisions that government has taken in modern times.”
Writing in the Sunday Times he said: “It is time for the cabinet to exert their collective authority. This week the authority of our constitution is on the line.”
The issue of the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland is one of the last remaining obstacles to achieving a divorce deal with Brussels, with wrangling continuing over the nature of a “backstop” to keep the frontier open if a wider UK-EU trade arrangement cannot resolve it.
The European Union’s version, which would see just Northern Ireland remain aligned with Brussels’ rules, has been called unacceptable by May and is loathed by the DUP.
May’s counter-proposal is for a “temporary customs arrangement” for the whole UK, but Tory Brexiteers are suspicious this could turn into a permanent situation, restricting the freedom to strike trade deals around the world.
The Sunday Times said at least nine ministers want May to change course when the cabinet meets on Tuesday.
Speculation about possible resignations has centred on Andrea Leadsom, Penny Mordaunt and Esther McVey, but the newspaper also indicated that Scottish secretary David Mundell and Scottish Tory leader Ruth Davidson could quit because special arrangements for Northern Ireland could fuel the case for Scottish independence.
The Northern Irish situation is politically problematic for Mrs May because her minority administration depends on the votes of the 10 DUP MPs.
A leaked email reported in the Observer indicated Foster was ready to block a Brexit deal.
According to a private email exchange between senior UK officials, seen by the newspaper, Foster gave her views during a dinner with the leader of Conservative MEPs, Ashley Fox.
The leaked email said Foster described the EU’s chief Brexit negotiator Barnier as “difficult and hostile” and indicated “the DUP were ready for a no-deal scenario, which she now believed was the likeliest one”.
Writing in the Belfast Telegraph, Foster said she appreciated the risks of a no-deal Brexit but “the dangers of a bad deal are worse”.
She added: “The DUP’s actions this week are not as some have suggested about ‘flexing muscle’.
“This is no game.
“Anyone engaging in this in a light-hearted way foolishly fails to grasp the gravity of the decisions we will make in the coming weeks.”
A further demonstration of Tory resistance to May’s plans came from MP Anne-Marie Trevelyan, who wrote in the Sunday Telegraph that “the idea of remaining in the customs union – even it if is called a ‘temporary customs arrangement’ – after the end of the transition period, in to the 2020s, means simply delaying Brexit and causing the 17.4 million people who voted for it to lose faith in our democracy”.
Jacob Rees-Mogg, chairman of the European Research Group of pro-Brexit MPs, warned that when it came to the backstop proposal “temporary means eternal”.
In a letter to chancellor Philip Hammond, 63 Tory MPs challenged him to release the full details of the cross-Whitehall Brexit analysis which forecast GDP growth would be 7.7% lower over 15 years if there was a “no-deal” exit on World Trade Organisation rules.