New YouGov poll suggests Keir Starmer still favourite to win leadership contest
PUBLISHED: 18:04 17 January 2020 | UPDATED: 18:16 17 January 2020
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New YouGov polling has suggested again that Keir Starmer could win the Labour leadership contest - increasing his popularity with the membership based upon the last survey.
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Based on first preferences in the first round Starmer has 46% of support compared to Rebecca Long-Bailey's 32% of support. Jess Phillip has 11%, Lisa Nandy on 7% and Emily Thornberry on 3%.
When all of the other lower-scoring candidates are eliminated it translates to Starmer on 63% of the support with Long-Bailey on 37%.
It suggests Starmer is increasing his support with the Labour membership.
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The polling does not, however, factor in registered supporters or affiliated supporters, who all have a vote.
Around 60,000 new members to have joined the party in the last month - with an extra 15,000 applying to become a registered supporter in the last few days.
While Starmer is significantly ahead in YouGov polling, a Survation poll of members using the LabourList website found that Long-Bailey was slightly ahead of Starmer.
Nonetheless YouGov accurately predicted the 2015 Labour leadership result and the 2019 general election result.
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