Super Tuesday: The places to watch
PUBLISHED: 11:27 03 March 2020 | UPDATED: 11:27 03 March 2020
The Democratic presidential candidates are racing toward the biggest day in the primaries calendar when 14 US states vote on Super Tuesday.
Become a Supporter
Almost four years after its creation The New European goes from strength to strength across print and online, offering a pro-European perspective on Brexit and reporting on the political response to the coronavirus outbreak, climate change and international politics. But we can only continue to grow with your support.
It is the day when the primary season goes nationwide.
Instead of a single state voting at a time, candidates have to focus on contests in every region of the country with all types of voters.
While Super Tuesday will not necessarily determine who wins the nomination, it has historically been difficult for a candidate who performs poorly on the day to recover. Here is what to look out for in Tuesday's contests:
- The states
Fourteen states hold primaries on Super Tuesday, including California and Texas, the two biggest delegate hauls of the entire primary season.
California offers 415 delegates and Texas 228. In total, more than 1,300 delegates will be up for grabs, about a third of the total available in the race to the Democratic presidential nomination.
Although Super Tuesday was originally created as a regional primary featuring Southern states, it has morphed over the years. This year, it includes states from every region of the country.
The other states are Arkansas, Alabama, Colorado, Maine, Minnesota, Massachusetts, Vermont, Utah, North Carolina, Virginia, Tennessee and Oklahoma. Most of the Southern states are Republican strongholds in the general election, while others like California are solidly Democratic. North Carolina is likely to be a battleground state in the general election.
Polls close between 7pm and 8pm local time, depending on the state.
- The voters
The Super Tuesday states are home to diverse electorates, both when it comes to demographics and political ideology.
In California and Texas, white voters make up less than half the population. Latinos count for nearly 40% of the populations in both states. California, meanwhile, has the nation's highest Asian population, at roughly 15%.
North Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia, Alabama and Arkansas have large populations of black voters, one of the Democratic Party's core voting blocs.
The states blend a mix of urban and rural voters, as well as Democrats from all sides of the political spectrum. As candidates focus on wooing Southern Democrats in states like Texas and Arkansas, they must also be thinking about a message that can resonate in progressive San Francisco.
Most of the Super Tuesday states have some form of widespread early voting. Voters in Minnesota, for example, could start casting ballots in January. Millions of mail-in ballots went out to California voters on February 3, the day of the Iowa caucuses.
- The candidates
Vermont senator Bernie Sanders and former New York Mayor Mike Bloomberg have had the widest and most aggressive footprint across the Super Tuesday states, largely because they have the most money to spend.
Bloomberg is advertising in all 14 states, while Sanders is on the airwaves in 12.
It is the first time Bloomberg will be on the ballot, after he skipped the first four voting states, making the day a critical test of his theory that he is the best candidate to stand against Sanders and, later, Republican president Donald Trump.
Sanders spent Sunday in California, holding rallies in the San Francisco Bay Area and Los Angeles, the state's major liberal strongholds.
He is hoping his months-long focus on the state and his resonance with Latino voters will help him win a large chunk of the state's 415 delegates. Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren was in California on Monday, and Joe Biden will return on primary day.
Biden, for his part, hopes his strong showing in Saturday's South Carolina primary is a harbinger of coming success with black voters, who dominate the Democratic electorate in a handful of Super Tuesday states.
Warren hopes to win her home-state primary, though Sanders is making a play for it in what could prove to be a fatal blow to her campaign. Bloomberg has also campaigned across the South in recent days as he tries to prove he can build a winning Democratic coalition.
Democrats opposed to Sanders are hoping to see voters coalesce behind a moderate alternative. Any of the candidates could face pressure to drop out if they do not perform well on Tuesday.
Additional reporting by the PA news agency.
Become a Supporter
Almost four years after its creation The New European goes from strength to strength across print and online, offering a pro-European perspective on Brexit and reporting on the political response to the coronavirus outbreak, climate change and international politics. But we can only rebalance the right wing extremes of much of the UK national press with your support. If you value what we are doing, you can help us by making a contribution to the cost of our journalism.Become a supporter