New YouGov polling has suggested again that Keir Starmer could win the Labour leadership contest – increasing his popularity with the membership based upon the last survey.
Based on first preferences in the first round Starmer has 46% of support compared to Rebecca Long-Bailey’s 32% of support. Jess Phillip has 11%, Lisa Nandy on 7% and Emily Thornberry on 3%.
When all of the other lower-scoring candidates are eliminated it translates to Starmer on 63% of the support with Long-Bailey on 37%.
It suggests Starmer is increasing his support with the Labour membership.
MORE: Why Keir Starmer has the Labour leadership race all sewn up already
The polling does not, however, factor in registered supporters or affiliated supporters, who all have a vote.
Around 60,000 new members to have joined the party in the last month – with an extra 15,000 applying to become a registered supporter in the last few days.
While Starmer is significantly ahead in YouGov polling, a Survation poll of members using the LabourList website found that Long-Bailey was slightly ahead of Starmer.
Nonetheless YouGov accurately predicted the 2015 Labour leadership result and the 2019 general election result.
Most popular
Farage is forced to explain his finances
Biden’s long-awaited decision is game-changing
Sanity is coming home
Trump is losing it
