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Can a deal be done? Timeline of the Brexit saga

Prime Minister Boris Johnson in Brussels, Belgium, for a dinner with European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen where they will try to reach a breakthrough on a post-Brexit trade deal. - Credit: PA

Boris Johnson and the European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen said “substantial progress” had been made on a Brexit trade deal following a phone call on Thursday – but both are still warning there are significant obstacles to overcome.

As the clock ticks towards the deadline for an agreement at the end of the year, here is a look at the key moments in the saga:

– January 23 2013

Under intense pressure from many of his own MPs and with the rise of Ukip, prime minister David Cameron promises an in-out referendum on EU membership if the Conservatives win the 2015 general election.

– May 7 2015

The Tories unexpectedly make sweeping gains over Ed Miliband’s Labour Party and secure a majority in the Commons. Cameron vows to deliver his manifesto pledge of an EU referendum.

– June 23 2016

The UK votes to leave the EU in a shock result that sees 52% of the public support Brexit and Cameron quickly resigns as prime minister.

– July 13 2016

Theresa May takes over as prime minister. Despite having backed Remain, she promises to “rise to the challenge” of negotiating the UK’s exit.

– November 10 2016

The High Court rules against the government and says parliament must hold a vote to trigger Article 50 of the Treaty on European Union, the mechanism that begins the exit from the EU. May says the ruling will not stop her from invoking the legislation by April 2017.

– March 29 2017

May triggers Article 50. European Council president Donald Tusk says it is not a happy occasion, telling a Brussels press conference his message to the UK is: “We already miss you. Thank you and goodbye.”

– April 18 2017

May announces a snap general election to be held on June 8.

– June 8 2017

There is humiliation for May as she loses her Commons majority after her election gamble backfires. She becomes head of a minority Conservative administration propped up by the Democratic Unionist Party.

– September 22 2017

In a crucial Brexit speech in Florence, May sends a message to EU leaders by saying: “We want to be your strongest friend and partner as the EU and UK thrive side by side.” She says she is proposing an “implementation period” of “around two years” after Brexit when existing market access arrangements will apply.

– March 19 2018

The EU’s chief negotiator, Michel Barnier, says he and Brexit secretary David Davis have taken a “decisive step” towards agreeing a joint legal text on the UK’s EU withdrawal but warns there are still outstanding issues relating to the Irish border.

– July 6 2018

A crunch Cabinet meeting at Chequers agrees May’s new Brexit plans, including the creation of a new UK-EU free trade area for goods. But not all who attend are happy with the compromises.

– July 8 and July 9 2018

Davis resigns from the government in protest while the following day Boris Johnson quits as foreign secretary, claiming the plans mean “we are truly headed for the status of colony” of the EU.

– November 14 2018

In a statement outside 10 Downing Street after a five-hour Cabinet meeting, May says that Cabinet has agreed the draft Brexit Withdrawal Agreement.

– November 15 2018

Dominic Raab resigns as Brexit secretary, saying he “cannot in good conscience support the terms proposed for our deal with the EU”. Other resignations follow.

– November 25 2018

The 27 EU leaders endorse the Brexit deal.

– December 12 2018

May survives an attempt to oust her with a vote of no confidence as Tory MPs vote by 200 to 117 in the secret ballot in Westminster.

– January 15 2019

MPs reject May’s Brexit plans by an emphatic 432 to 202 in an historic vote which throws the future of her administration and the nature of the UK’s EU withdrawal into doubt.

– March 20 2019

May tells the House of Commons that she has written to Tusk to request an extension to Article 50 Brexit negotiations to June 30.

– March 29 2019

MPs reject May’s Withdrawal Agreement for a third time – by 286 votes to 344 – on the day the UK was due to leave the EU.

– April 10 2019

The EU agrees a “flexible extension” to Brexit until October 31. May says the “choices we now face are stark and the timetable is clear”.

– May 23 2019

Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party comes out on top in the European elections, while the pro-EU Liberal Democrats also make gains.

– May 24 2019

May announces she is standing down as Tory Party leader on June 7. She says: “It is and will always remain a matter of deep regret to me that I have not been able to deliver Brexit.”

– July 23 2019

Johnson is elected as leader of the Conservative Party and becomes the UK’s new prime minister after defeating Jeremy Hunt.

– August 20 2019

The new prime minister is rebuffed by European Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker after demanding major changes to Irish border arrangements in a new Brexit deal.

– August 28 2019

The Queen is dragged into the Brexit row as Johnson requests the prorogation of parliament from early September to mid-October.

– September 4 2019

MPs vote to approve legislation aimed at preventing a no-deal Brexit. Johnson orders a purge of rebel Tories who opposed the government including former chancellors Philip Hammond and Sir Kenneth Clarke.

The prime minister attempts to trigger an early general election but fails to get the required support of two-thirds of MPs.

– September 24 2019

The Supreme Court rules that the PM’s advice to the Queen to suspend parliament until October 14 was unlawful because it had the effect of frustrating parliament.

– October 2 2019

Johnson puts forward his formal Brexit plan to the EU, revealing his blueprint to solve the Irish border issue.

– October 10 2019

Johnson and Taoiseach Leo Varadkar say they can see a “pathway to a deal”, in a joint statement after key talks at a luxury hotel in Cheshire.

– October 17 2019

After intense negotiations, the prime minister announces the UK has reached a “great deal” with the EU which “takes back control” and means that “the UK can come out of the EU as one United Kingdom – England, Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland, together”.

– October 19 2019

In the first Saturday sitting of the Commons in 37 years Johnson seeks the support of MPs in a “meaningful vote” on his new deal but instead they back an amendment forcing him to seek a delay.

– October 22 2019

The prime minister mounts an attempt to fast-track his Brexit deal through parliament but puts the plans on ice after MPs vote against his foreshortened timetable.

– October 28 2019

EU leaders agree to a second Brexit “flextension” until January 31 unless parliament ratifies the deal sooner.

– October 29 2019

Johnson finally succeeds at the fourth attempt in winning Commons support for a general election on December 12.

– December 12 2019

Having campaigned on a promise to “get Brexit done”, Johnson secures a landslide win at the election and with an 80-seat majority.

– January 8 2020

New European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen visits No 10 to warn Johnson the timetable for a post-Brexit trade deal is “very, very tight”. The prime minister is clear however there will be no extension to the transition period, which expires at the end of 2020.

– January 9 2020

Johnson gets his Brexit deal through the Commons as the European Union (Withdrawal Agreement) Bill is given a third reading with a majority of 99.

– January 31 2020

A clock projected on the walls of Downing Street counts down the moments to the UK’s departure from the EU at 11pm.

– March 2 2020

Barnier and Johnson’s chief EU adviser David Frost open formal talks in Brussels on Britain’s future relationship with the bloc, including a free trade agreement.

– March 12 2020

The two sides announce they are suspending face-to-face talks due to the coronavirus pandemic and will explore the options for continuing the negotiations by video conferencing.

– June 12 2020

Cabinet office minister Michael Gove formally tells the EU the UK will not sign up to an extension to the transition period, but he backtracks on plans to immediately introduce full border checks with the bloc on January 1.

– September 10 2020

The European Commission threatens the UK with legal action after ministers announce plans for legislation enabling them to override provisions in the Withdrawal Agreement relating to Northern Ireland in breach of international law.

– October 16 2020

Johnson says he is halting talks on a trade deal accusing EU leaders meeting for a summit in Brussels of seeking to impose “unacceptable” demands.

– November 7 2020

Johnson and von der Leyen agree to “redouble” their efforts to get a deal while acknowledging that significant differences remain over fisheries and the so-called “level playing field” for state aid rules.

–  December 4 2020

Lord Frost and Barnier announce in a joint statement the conditions for an agreement had still not been met and negotiations will be put on “pause” to allow political leaders to take stock, with Johnson and Von der Leyen to engage in emergency talks.

– December 9 2020

Johnson and von der Leyen dine at the European Commission, with talks between the two leaders lasting around three hours and ending in an agreement to have further discussions, but that a “firm decision” should be taken about the future of the talks by Sunday.

– December 13 2020

Following a phone call, Johnson and von der Leyen agree to another extension of talks to “go the extra mile” to find a breakthrough. Johnson says there is a “deal to be done” with the EU but adds the two sides are “very far apart” on key issues and Britain is still ready to trade on WTO terms in the new year.

– December 17 2020

The prime minister and European Commission president von der Leyen talk on the phone again to take stock of the discussions, just hours after Gove tells MPs the chances of a deal were “less than 50%”.

The two sides both say progress has been made, but there are still “fundamental” differences, with fisheries again a sticking point.

Johnson describes the continuing negotiations as being in a “serious situation”, adding an agreement was not likely with time “very short”.

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